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Hagh Mossalam and other thoughts
02-Dec-2009
In the early 50s, Turkey and Iran had the same aspirations for democracy and peace which resulted in the development of the entire ME region. In Iran, this democratic impulse was embodied in the charismatic person of Mossadegh, whose basic ideas were, at that time, not too far from those of Nehru. In Turkey, democracy was ignited by the spectacular victories of the pro-Western and moderate Democratic Party of Adnan Menderes resulting in the opening of the political scene, even to Islamic movements which were repressed mercilessly by Kemalism.
I believe that the violent overthrow of Mossadegh in 1953 and Menderes five years later by an alliance of Kemalist forces and military apparatus, though dramatic were inevitable and even, unfortunately, necessary. The post Stalinism era was marked by a fierce appetite from USSR to control and dictate Union Soviet’s policy to its direct neighbors. In Europe this policy resulted in the collapse of eastern countries which became USSR’s satellites. In the ME, the question of oil forced soviets to play a more lurking game as a direct grip over oil countries would have inevitably ended into a direct confrontation with the West. In the other hand, I think that if Mossadegh was not overthrown, he would have depended more on a communist movement which was at that time better organized and more consistent in an intellectual level, and would resulted into a bloody confrontation with leading ayatollahs (i.e. Kashani et co.)who designated communists as heretics and had an excellent control over ordinary people. This was also the case in Turkey where Menderes was challenged both by an increasingly powerful Communist Party cherished by intellectuals and an Islamist movement deeply inked in the country - It is also to be said that pronazis forces took their advantages in the departure of Mossadegh and Menderes a bit later, but that is another story.
What we should learn from all this painful episode is that after Mossadegh’s resignation, the Iranian oil hasn’t been confiscated by the British. And now, though extremists like Khamenei and Ahmadinejad who have transformed the Iranian nuclear program into a scarecrow, we should all be aware that this program, started under Shah’s supervision, constitutes a national heritage. Further, it is also clear that after thirty years of dictatorship the actual, deeply corroded, regime will not succeed to control the society aspiring for real changes. If the aspiration of change in Iran is backed, our country, besides other developing countries like Turkey and Israel, will become once again a major and active partner in the region. Any other solution to the democratization of Iran will lead to a disastrous confrontation which final step would be the establishment of a united front of an extremist Islam against the entire world.
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yes, Ayhab is mamnol-blog! (to Hajminator)
by kharmagas on Thu Dec 03, 2009 08:47 AM PSTYa, Ayhab-e la'nati is sefto sakht mamnol-blog! It seems JJ has been quite magasssy recently.
Kharmagas,
by Hajminator on Thu Dec 03, 2009 08:31 AM PSTYes sure! Capt'ne's account is blocked? I should get myself vaccinated as the blocking mechanism seems to spread like the H1N1 flu virus.
Capt_ayhab! (to Hajminator)
by kharmagas on Thu Dec 03, 2009 08:09 AM PSTJenAbe Hajminator, it would be nice if Ayhab's account was unblocked, so he could comment here too?
Irandokht azeez,
by Hajminator on Thu Dec 03, 2009 11:32 AM PSTI think that our path to freedom, which begun more than 100 years ago, is about to know its final verdict.
The 1979 revolution in Iran was not caused by economical or political reasons which are usually the genesis of mass movements in other countries. Our revolution was a social movement.
I believe that in 1979, Iranians knew what they didn’t want, as they rejected the western like changes that Shah tried to impose on the society, but they didn’t know what they want - Even western educated politicians like Bazorgan fell in the trap of Islamists and Khomeini!
I think that the major difference of our actual social and political movement with the 1979 revolution is that people from different social levels know exactly what they want. This is a huge difference with our past historical movements and it gives a lot of hope not only for us but, also it can lead to a major transformation of the political scene of ME.
In the other hand, the extremists controlling the country are aware that if they lose this battle they will simply be wiped off the political board. They are trying every single savagery that devil knows to hold the power. It’s not really clear who’s who and who decides what in the country but I think that the external provocations like the nuclear fiasco or the Britain hostages that Sepah took last week are organized in the sense to get a harsh response from the world.
War is simply a godsend for these guys. In such case, it would be simple to retard the social explosion by invoking the foreign threats that Iran is facing. Iranians, from different ethnics, are real nationalists and it’s easy to motivate them to fight the “enemy”.
I also think that –air tight- sanctions will simply strengthen Sepah’s grip over the economy. They are already using shortages to grow richer by doing different sorts of traffics.
The soft spot or Mullah’s Achilles’ tendon are human rights, parallel information networks, internet, their legitimacy and the vision that Arab people have of them. I really believe that a good combination of these points will empower Iranians and accelerate Mullah’s collapse; that was what I meant by backing people’s aspiration for change.
Ebi jan,
by Hajminator on Thu Dec 03, 2009 07:56 AM PSTYou're welcome my friend.
Dear Hajminator
by IRANdokht on Wed Dec 02, 2009 07:20 PM PSTI agree with what you said about the past.
You also said:
"If the aspiration of change in Iran is backed, our country, besides other developing countries like Turkey and Israel, will become once again a major and active partner in the region."
Would you please elaborate on what you mean by "backed"?
Thanks for a thought provoking piece.
IRANdokht
Hajminator aziz..
by ebi amirhosseini on Wed Dec 02, 2009 06:45 PM PSTSepaas
Ebi aka Haaji
Fatollah
by Hajminator on Wed Dec 02, 2009 04:21 PM PSTYou're welcome, thanks for your attention.
Hajminator
by Fatollah on Wed Dec 02, 2009 04:06 PM PSTExcellent analysis, enjoyed it. thanks
Fateh,
by Hajminator on Wed Dec 02, 2009 12:54 PM PSTMy best friends are Jews.
But you're absolutely right. We, Iranians haven't the ability to be united - our greatest tragedy - In my opinion there are some identified reasons for that. I just can't figure out why after 30 years of vagabondage we didn't understand that. However, I have a great hope on our youths who are assimilating this basic notion.
Peace.
Peace Brother
by Faramarz_Fateh on Wed Dec 02, 2009 12:18 PM PSTYou are right! You absolutely have the right to dislike AIPAC, Israel, Jews or anyone else.
Just a quick question for you; would it have been a good idea for us Iranians living in the U.S. to start an organization like AIPAC in the past 30 years?!
We definitely could have afforded it. The Iranian community in the U.S. has 15 individuals worth more than $400 million, and 112 individuals worth more than $50 million as of 2008.
God knows who many with more than several million. I don't have complete figures.
Iranians could have had one of the strongest lobbying group in the U.S. But we rather stay divided I guess.
Fateh
by Hajminator on Wed Dec 02, 2009 12:07 PM PSTIt's because you don't read carefully. It's also likely that you have had difficulties in class when you were child too.
Show me one single comment of mine in which I've demonized Israel. I've always said that people of Israel and Iranians had a rich culture in common and that they share a lot of interests together.
I confess that my opinion doesn't include AIPAC and Zionism which for many other Jews and me are harmful entities not only to everyone but also to their own people. You hate Islam and I don't like these guys and in hagh mossalam man ast.
WOW I am speechless for once
by Faramarz_Fateh on Wed Dec 02, 2009 11:45 AM PSTFirst time you have succeeded in writing a piece that makes sense and is not full of B.S. about Israel and AIPAC!
Why would someone who can reason and write like this resort to type of posts you have written before?! Just curious.