Copying the Sultan's policies, the mullahs pay the same price


by FG

Two articles fired me up today.  The first has nothing to do with Iran until you look closely: 

 "For Turks, World War I and the collapse of the Ottoman Empire ended a period of decline and corruption. It is an era which defines their national identity to this day. In the eyes of many, Ottoman leaders needlessly sacrificed their young men to defend Arab lands beyond Turkey’s natural frontiers for the sake of a universal Islamic state"...(After the war a new secular regime)..."built a successful modern nation modeled on the West and generally kept Turkey out of Arab affairs.'


The resemblance to what happened under mullah rule is striking.  Among Sunnis, Al Queda pursues a similar goal but with its Capliphate located in Baghdad.  Everyone now mocks Khoumeini's remark, "Economics is for Donkeys" but how many notice how the mullahs' ignorance of history is just as costly.   The Islamic Republic may as well be ruled by chimps using electric cattle plrods to enforce conformity.  

Anti-regime ultranationists here share the same grievenance-provoking propaganda and drive to dominate as the mullahs.  Any quest for a Greater Iran will have repercussions as fatal as the quest for an Islamist Empire.   Promoting xenophobia is central to  aggresive policies beyond the borders and is rightly seen as a threat by all targets, including neighbors.  Recall what happenen to Nazi Germany in the East,  Mussolini in Ethiopia, Milosevic in the former Yugoslavia, and Turkey after World War I.    Another myth--that fascist regimes tend to be very effective or modern--was true excusively in Germany and for cultural reasons.   Elsewhere the tendency was to preserve backwardness ( Rumania, Hungary, Spain and Portugal) not progress.   The Baathist were fascist regimes founded on ultranationalism.  What did they do for Iraqis and Syrians?

See: Turkey's Leaders Face The Conundrum of History (Foley)




"Khomeinists retain the Manichean opposition at the heart of his worldview—above all, Shariati’s conviction that Iran and the broader Islamic world must be cleansed of Western influence. “The Westerners have polluted our world with their capitalism and our religion with their churches,” Shariati seethed. “They obscured and ruined everything we hold dear....How to counter the Western cultural menace? 

Note again how hatred of the West is central to the regime.  That applies to its culture and its infectious politial ideas.  That hatred was shared by Hitler and Stalin both and by all dicators.  Stalin actually admired Hitler's ruthlessness until Operation Barbarossa and the invasion of Russia.   Both copied one another's tactics for oppression and Iran's ruling mullahs are indebted as well.   Khamenei's problem is lacks special advantages each of those dictators enjoyed.  Hitler had popular legitimacy until the regime's last year.  For many reasons, including a far more educated and informed populace and the growth of mass communications technology, Khamenei can't run a closed system no more than Assad.   Like Assad, he remains vulnerable to similar military tactics.   Should he go too far, his risk of external intervention is far higher.

 Inside Iran, Khomeinism had to contend with a populace that had experienced some five decades of modernization under the previous regime. The things Shariati hated most about the West—“dandyism, dancing, cocktail partying, wine drinking, and sexual freedoms in the name of civilization”—had penetrated broad sections of Iranian society before the Khomeinists could build an Islamic firewall around it. So it had a robust secularist tradition.

In response, the Khomeinists went to war. They incepted the terrorist group Hizballah as a proxy to fight the region’s only non-Muslim sovereign, Israel. Iran soon became the world’s largest state sponsor of terrorism. Back home, the mullahs targeted intellectuals, women, minorities, and the young, among others. This war, too, caused enormous suffering. Thousands were tortured and executed. Many more were exiled.

It is this catastrophe that stares back at Khomeinism’s standard-bearers today—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad—as they survey the regime’s moral and historical legacy. Their domestic repression and defiance abroad have left them isolated on both fronts.


When serous troubles arise at home, Khamenei dumps the Koran and turns tothe writings of  Ali Shariati, the Sorbonne-educated sociologist widely credited as the Islamic Republic’s intellectual architect.  Check out the link below to see why.  


See: The Sources of Iranian Conduct





more from FG

FG, Thanks for your Great analysis & Report

by Azarbanoo on

which seems valid and unfortunate for Iranians.  They have to go through a hell in order to get rid of bastard akhoonds & their thugs.


Two New Blows Could Turn Iran into an Economic North Korea

by FG on

These days an old cliche haunts the doomed Islamic Republic: "when it rains it pours."   Assad's fall by itself could set off revolution.  Chances get even better the longer sanctions hit harder.  Throw in two new developmens this week, and allow them time for impact, and it is hard to see how the IRI can survive let alone offer a model anyone would want to imitate.  Now if only Assad can hand on a few months longer!  


...Khamenei hass ordered his "social police"--so dear to his black heart--back in the closet temporarily (as if the people willl ever forget their hated bullying).

... ONce again the regime starts is mumbling about prosecuting Saeed Montazavi who only carried out Khamenei's orders (as if that would satisfy the public now).


U.S. imposes new sanctions on Iran

The White House imposed new penalties on two foreign banks — one in China, another in Iraq — for allegedly acting as surrogates for Iranian financial institutions that have been nearly shut down by previous rounds of U.S. and European sanctions.



Fears grow over rise in food prices

EXCERPT:  the economic effects of the sharp rise in agricultural commodities have barely begun. A jump of 30 to 50 percent in benchmark corn, wheat and soybean prices has revived memories of the world’s last food crisis

The IRI will be superbly vulnerable.  Last time the Surprme Tyrant had money to deal with it.  To keep the people under control after the 2009 explosion he arranged for cheap imorts from China in the wake of the crackdown destroyed much domestic agriculture.  Prices rose anyway--even before sanctions.   Today the value of the currency rose to a hair from the psychologically unsetting 2000 to the dollar point.



When Khamenei unleashes his thugs (a certainty), don't just sit back and take it this time or you'll end up more even more miserable and hopeless than today.  As noted, Iran will become Noth Korea.  So learn from the Syrians who had no weapons.  Do what they did. Enough is enough!  

If you have family in the military or security forces, now is the time to talk to them about defecting.  Remind them to bring their weapons to help defend their families, friends and neighbors.