As of 1748 GMT, Rial has lost 15% of its value in one day.


by FG

(Mainly from Enduring America with some re-editing and organizing by FG)


A few days ago the rial started about 1820 and ended at 1900 (then a record). The next market day it reached 2000. Now it's at 2300. WOW!

MP Gholam-Reza Mesbahi Moghaddam of Parliament's Economic Committee said the economic reputation of the Government is gone. He claimed that, even though the Central Bank has more than $100 billion in foreign exchange reserves, it has abandoned the defence of the Iranian currency.

Arsalan Fathipour, the head of the Economic Committee, said that the Rial weakening to a level beyond 20000:1 to the US dollar is a "big catastrophe for the economy".

Fathipour continues that Minister of Industry Mehdi Ghazanfari's claim of "cheap" US dollars, provided at official Central Bank rates, for importers is not true (see 0455 GMT). He said Parliament has summoned Minister of Economy Shamseddin Hosseini to report on the currency crisis.


Mashregh writes that thousands of Iranians have rushed to Iraq for a "fistful of dollars".


The Mashregh report backs up news that Iraqi authorities have approached international agencies for help with foreign reserves because of the number of Syrians and Iranians seeking dollars amidst US sanctions.


Why is the price of gold skyrocketing in Iran? Here's a clue from a stationary merchant in Tehran:

The Rial [the national currency] is falling so fast that it's impossible to do business in it. We can't agree any proper deals with other firms because within an hour or two, the prices of everything may have changed. The government has limited the amount of other currencies we can use, so everyone is using gold instead."


A sign of possible problems for Tehran as it tries to free the bonds of US-led sanctions through payments in alternative currencies....

Iran has asked India to pay for oil partly in Japanese yen in the latest step in a crisis over trade payments from the end of 2010.

At talks in Tehran last week, India proposed to pay its second-biggest oil supplier in rupees. However, Tehran is seeking payment in yen because it is concerned that they may not get sufficient value from the rupee, which is not fully convertible.

The two countries have struggled to preserve $9.5 billion in annual crude trade after the Reserve Bank of India dismantled a mechanism used to settle payments in euros and dollars in December 2010. Transactions are currently routed through Turkiye Halk Bankasi AS, based in Ankara, which has told Indian refiners it may no longer be able to act as an intermediary because of American warnings not to maintain links with Iranian banks.


Critics are lining up to challenge the Government over the state of the economy. Aftab asks "Are economic managers able to resign?" it asks before asserting that the Government except to react with slogans

Reformist MP Mohammad Reza Khabbaz chips in, "By putting the blame for the Rial's fall on the raid on the British Embassy [a "spontaneous" action by a crowd on 29 November], the Government projects its failures on others."

And MP Abbasali Noura warns that the Government should not eliminate 10 million people from support payments for subsidy cuts because this "will have very negative results".


MP Ali Fallahian, a former Minister of Intelligence and a member of the Assembly of Experts, said Iran should halt all oil sales to the EU Union immediately, pre-empting EU plans for the start of the embargo on 1 July. This would cause a spike in prices and deny European countries, such as Greece, Spain, and Italy --- all of whom take between 10 and 25% of their oil from Iran --- to find other supplies.

Fallahian also insisted, "If they increase the pressure on our country, we can use the Strait of Hormuz as a tool to decrease the pressures and closing the strait is one of the options."

Mohammad Ismail Kowsari, the Deputy Head of Parliament's National Security Committee chipped in, "[The Straits will] definitely be closed if the sale of Iranian oil is violated in any way."


...And now another prominent supporter for former Revolutionary Guards commander Hossein Alaei (see 1139 GMT), after his article warning the Supreme Leader about the consequences of repression --- MP Ali Motahari has said that critics have the right to spread their opinion via national media and that physical attacks on them are immoral.

... Muhammad Sahimi summarises the information --- posted in EA over the last two weeks --- about the controversy around an article by former Revolutionary Guards commander Hossein Alaei, warning the Supreme Leader of the consequences of repression.

Now a fourth IRGC officer has stepped forward and added his voice to the criticism of the nation's state of affairs. In an article on his blog, Gholam-Ali Rajaei, a former IRGC officer, wrote, "There are criticisms of the Supreme Leader in society," and these articles are merely bringing those "whispers" into the open. Responding to the 12 IRGC commanders that had accused Alaei of targeting Khamenei, Rajaei wrote, "Suppose that the target...of Alaei's article was the Leader. What is the problem? In what sense is this is a violation of the law?"


more from FG
Mash Ghasem

This is next, (writing below is from SAM).

by Mash Ghasem on

در خبر است که انشا‌الله تعالی، بزودی همه کاسه کوزه را سر احمدی رفوزه،
میشکنند ... و دست به دامن کوسه رفسنجان میشوند، تا با سید علی‌ گدا ماچ و
روبوسی کند ... و برادران لاریجانی نیابت سلطنت را در کنار ریاست ۳ قوه
قضائیه و مجریه و مقننه، قبول زحمت کنند ... و موسوی و کروبی را از حصر بدر
آورند ... و مشائی و دار و دسته حجتیه را به زندان اندازند.

شال سبزی به گردن آویزند و چراغ سبزی به جانب آمریکا در انگیزند ... چنان که راه و رسم آخوندان باشد:

"بخوابند و کون سوی بالا کنند ... هنر‌های خود را هویدا کنند"

G. Rahmanian

Nothing Can Stop Regime's Downfall!

by G. Rahmanian on

What's Next?


نرخ ارز و سکه؛


نرخ ارز و سکه؛ این وضعیت مانند سونامی است

سایت فرارو- یک نماینده مجلس معتقد است که وقتی مدیران دولتی در مجلس حاضر نمی‌شوند و از دادن اطلاعات دریغ می‌کنند، چنین وضعیتی به وجود می‌آید. محمدرضا تابش معتقد است که وضعیت کنونی مانند سونامی است و باید تصمیم‌گیری عاجلی شود.

محمدرضا تابش در گفتگو با فرارو گفت: «متاسفانه کار دست دولت است و از دست مجلس کار زیادی ساخته نیست. مجلس یک جلسه‌ای گذاشت و آقایان مسئولین دولتی تشریف نیاوردند. وقتی مجلس در این حد توان و اختیار ندارد که در باره یک موضوع مهم و کلان که امنیت روانی جامعه را به خطر انداخته و مسلما اگر این روند ادامه پیدا بکند تبعات اجتماعی و امنیتی بدی هم خواهد داشت، مسئولین را احضار بکند، نمی‌توان انتظار زیادی از این مجلس داشت.»

تابش ادامه داد: «این مساله هم نشات گرفته از مسائل داخلی است و هم خارجی. از نظر خارجی از آنجا که ماهیت انقلاب ما در تضاد با منافع بدخواهان این ملت و دشمنان است، از هیج کاری برای تسلیم ملت ما فروگذار نمی‌کنند.»

عضو کمیسیون اقتصادی مجلس افزود: «از این رو یکی از عوامل وضعیت فعلی، تحریم و تشدید تحریم هاست که اثرگذار بوده است. شاید برخی از مسئولین برای روحیه دادن به ملت بگویند این تحریم‌ها کم اثر بوده است ولی متاسفانه در جلساتی کارشناسی که در مجلس گذاشته می‌شود هم برخی از آقایان نمایندگان مردم را هم نامحرم می‌دانند و گزارش‌های واقعی ارائه نمی دهند.»

نماینده یزد در مجلس تصریح کرد: «وقتی نمایندگان مردم خیلی خبر ندارند که در این فعل و انفعالات چه اتفاقاتی در حال روی دادن است، چگونه می‌توانند کاری کنند. ما اطلاعی نداریم در جابجایی سپرده‌های کشورمان و تبدیل دلار به یورو و یا برعکس و انجام معاملات با سایر ارز ها چگونه بوده است که بتوانیم ارزیابی داشته باشیم.»

وی با بیان اینکه مسلما با توجه به اینکه تشدید تحریم‌ها تاثیر گذار بوده است و باید در سیاست خارجی مجموعه دست اندرکاران در راس آن دولت واقع‌بینانه تر و فعال‌تر عمل کنند، گفت: «اما در عرصه داخلی رشد فزاینده نقدینگی، عدم مهار این مساله، اعلام پیش فروش سکه و دو بار توقف در این زمینه که شوک‌های اقتصادی را وارد کرده است، همچنین سود سپرده‌ها و پایین‌بودن آن بر خلاف واقعیات اقتصادی و نیز اعلام غیر واقعی نرخ دلار، چالش‌های چند سال گذشته کمیسیون اقتصادی و دولت بوده است. قانون گریزی دولت و عدم اجرای صحیح قانون هدفمندیارانه‌ها هم باعث شده است که کار به اینجا برسد.»

تابش ادامه داد: «اگر دولت و مجموعه حاکمیت تصمیم عاجلی را اتخاذ نکنند ما مواجه با چالش‌هایی خواهیم شد که تنها به عرصه اقتصاد ختم نخواهد شد، حتی خدای ناکرده ممکن است به چالش‌های امنیتی هم منجر شود. من قبول ندارم که دولت از این طریق کسب درآمد بکند، چون اثرات روانی که آن کار دارد بسیار مخرب‌تر از این وضعیت است.»

وی افزود: «من می‌توانم دو تعبیر و تفسیر از این وضعیت داشته باشم، یکی اینکه با توجه اختلاف نظر بین رییس بانک مرکزی و دولت بر سر افزایش نرخ سود بانکی و تسهیلات بانکی این احتمال را می‌دهم که بانک مرکزی این عرصه را رها کرده است تا فشار‌ها باعث شود که آقای رییس جمهور به این کار تن بدهد.»

این عضو کمیسیون اقتصادی مجلس تصریح کرد: «فراتر از این مساله یک تحلیل بدبیانه‌ای هم هست که بر اساس سکوت آقای احمدی نژاد در این مورد است و آن اینکه دولت می خواهد با کشانده کار به اینجا و رها کردن وضعیت، التهابی در جامعه به وجود آورد تا از این طریق بتواند در یک وضعیت شکننده سیاسی باب مذاکره با برخی از کشور‌ها را باز کند.»

وی ادامه داد: «دولت از این مساله غافل است که وضعیت موجود یک سونامی است که اگر خدا ناکرده سر باز بکند، معلوم نیست چه تبعاتی داشته باشد.»

تابش در پاسخ به اینکه پیشنهاد شما برای حل این بحران اقتصادی چیست، گفت: «خیلی کارها را می شد کرد، که دولت انجام نداده است. اما ماهی را هر وقت از آب بگیریم تازه است. حذف بسیاری از متخصصین از بدنه اجرایی دولت و عدم توجه به هشدار های فعالین، نخبگان، اساتید دانشگاه و به خصوص کتمان اطلاعات باعث شده است که این وضعیت به وجود بیاید.»

عضو کمیسیون اقتصادی ادامه داد: «متاسفانه مجلسی که باید اختیارش در دست خود و در راس امور باشد اکنون در ذیل امور هم قرار ندارد، بدیهی است که چنین شرایطی به وجود می‌آید.»

وی در پایان گفت: «راه حل این مساله اعتماد به سرمایه‌های ملی در زمینه نخبگان، متخصصان، مدیران عالی دوره‌های گذشته و اساتید و دانشگاه است. ما باید با طرح مساله برای سرمایه‌های اجتماعی، مشکلات و موانع را مطرح کرده و راهکار بخواهیم. چرا وقتی منافع ملی ما این‌گونه به خطر می‌افتد، باید تازه به چاره‌اندیشی بنشینیم و کار را به جایی بکشانیم که فرصت اندک باشد. آیا نمی‌شد وضعیت مطلوب‌تر اقتصادی برای مردم رقم بزنیم و در تعامل با کشور‌های خارجی از این زبان سخت و خشن استفاده نکنیم. بنابراین راه حل این است که از سرمایه‌های فکری خود استفاده کرده و مدیریت علمی را در پیش بگیرم.»

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A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.--Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn.


ابراز وحشت


ابراز وحشت رژيم از سرنگونی ديکتاتوری بشار اسد

مشاور ارشد خامنه ای در امور بین الملل با ابراز وحشت از سرنگونی ديکتاتوری بشار اسد گفت، سوريه خط قرمز ماست.

علی اکبر ولايتی از ديدار شماری از سفيران کشورهای خارجی با وی در مورد اوضاع سوريه خبر داد و گفت، اين سفرا دمشق را مسئول اتفاقاتی می دانند که در سوريه روی می دهد. اما ما در جمهوری اسلامی ایران اعتقاد داريم که توطئه ای بين المللی عليه سوريه وجود دارد.

مشاور ارشد خامنه ای، مردم بپاخاسته سوريه را وابسته به کشورهای خارجی معرفی کرد و گفت، برخی طرفهای داخلی در سوریه با سرمايه گذاران تقسيم کار کرده اند، طرفهای خارجی متعهد به آموزش نظامی در خاک خود و آموزش سلاحهای مختلف با قصد تخريب در سوريه شده اند.

ولایتی در ادامه بر حمایت همه جانبه جمهوری اسلامی از دیکتاتوری بشار اسد تاکید کرد و گفت، سوريه خط قرمز ماست و ما به کسی از طرفهای منطقه ای و بين المللی اجازه نمی دهيم که با هدف براندازی نظام سوریه در این کشور دخالت کنند.



A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.--Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn.


Milosevic, Saddam and Khamenei share something

by FG on

All said "they don't really mean it.  They won't do it."

All made very similar threats.

In each case the effect of all such threats was to encourage the response it was intended to deter.  Threats of this sort demonstrate why action against the threat-maker is deeply essential.

Sometimes threats backfire.  It's one thing for a cowardly leader to threaten his civilians and carry out those threats.  It's another matter entirely to threaten the world and attempt to carry out one's threats.



Regime spokesmen beg US: "We'd like our teeth kicked in please"

by FG on

The Washington Post describes how the mullahs beg for trouble:   


A contingency plan is indeed ready. You won't find  a single Iranian naval ship left afloat if they even attempt to carry out such theats.  Call it "surrender-or-die time" for Iran's naval captains.

And if the Iranians attack oil supplies elsewhere, Iran's own oil fields will be kaputski.  The US, the West and Iran's neighbors will shift immediately to a "no stop until it's gone" war policy vs. the Thugocracy.  It will have become unthinkable to let this loose cannon regime intact to ever make such threats again.   The Saudi air force should be given a chance to retaliate as well.  It won't turned down an opportunity for revenge.

Unlike other scenarios in which the Islamic Republic is eliminated this one won't leave a single generals responsible for crimes against the people in power afterward.  Like Khamenei, Mojtaba, Ahmad K, Taeb M., etc., they'll be handed over to the people by the winners.

Speaking of getting ready to deal with Iran's threats, note this from another Post report on the oil embargo:


Underlining the point, a U.S. aircraft carrier group led by the USS
Abraham Lincoln sailed through the strait Sunday into the Persian Gulf,
accompanied by two European frigates, the British Navy’s Argyll and the
French Navy’s La Motte-Picquet.

(Ah, the French and Brits too are getting ready to deal with an arrogant mullocracy!  Meanwhile many Iranians won't be as willing as usual to rally around a regime they rightly blame for all Iran's troubles.)



افزایش بهای


افزایش بهای ارز ادامه دارد؛ دلار 2300 تومان


Dollar =$2300

 A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.--Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn.


Excellent video roundtable: Can Iran survive US sanctions?

by FG on

One of the participants is Scott Lucas of Enduring America.

A few interesting quotes:

"Due to the sanctions on banking transactions, the Iranian government and businessmen have to depend on money changers,
which are not reliable and increase the cost by 20-30 per cent. That
has had a profound effect in aggravating the internal economic
situation. Iran in theory will always find some customer to buy some of
its oil but a serious drop in the sale of its oil to the level that it
must sell will have a tremendous effect. That is what the government
cannot find any remedy to, and that's why it threatens to block the
Strait of Hormuz, something that militarily it is incapable of doing."--Mehrdad Khonsari, a former Iranian diplomat

---There are some very serious economic problems in Iran aside from sanctions.  We're talking about an inflation rate of more than 40%, a sharp drop in production, a pulloutof investors in Iran's oil and gas fields, including the chinese, corruption in the banking sector...Scott Lucas

--Targeting Iran's central bank is a whole new ballgame.

--Iran is used to sanctions but nothing like this.





Excellent update and

by vildemose on

Excellent update and well-reasoned argument.

A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.--Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn.


Please tell me: Why would any normal person vote in Iran now?

by FG on

Voting says "thank you" for all hefty crimes since 2009.  Voting assists
the pretense that serious change in this system can be achieved by
peaceful means. When reformers won the Majlis in 2000 and the
presidency in 2001, cheating became mandatory and the need for it
increased with each election. When people finally caught on to the
rigged game (2009), a permanent police state was the only way left to
maintain the status quo.  Consequently one can make three safe
predictions on the next elections--turnout will suck, the regime will
lie, and no one will believe its lies. 

A "popular" regime would not ban a single candidate or rely on two
suspect bodies to accomplish that. Who decided a master's degree needed
as well?  This trick recalls a recent Republican attempt to require
voter IDs based on "plausible" reasons. It would disproportionately
exclude blacks and hispanics who tend to
vote democrat.  Everyone knew Republicans had no real interest in the
"plausible" reasons offered. 

Iran's degree requirement resembles the old property requirements for
public office (eliminated as unfair in the USA in 1789).  How many poor
and blue collar types would have Master's Degrees?  Ah-hah!  How many
parasitic clerics have such degrees?  Ah-hah!   Religious master's
degrees are so unproductive and useless to society that even the Saudis
have complained about the lousy economic consequences (as apparent in
Iran presently).  Such degrees are a dime a dozen, well-subsidized with
cash stolen from the people and tend to inhibit learning rather than
foster it.

Argument by analogy is a formal logical fallacy.  Relying of bad
analogies and the "best defense is a good offense" trick is a Propaganda
101 standard technique  in every dictatorship.  Thus mullah apologists
would equate easy-to-get  signature requirements for office with
ideologically slanted and far more powerful vetting policies clearly
designed for one purpose only--to bar anyone who questions the system. 

In the USA the signature requirement never prevented Gus Hall, communist
party head, from making the presidential ballot year after year.   In
the USA signatures of private citizens NOT government officials are all
you need and almost anyone you stop on the street will sign.  In the USA
only people who sign at the last minute or have very few friends to
help gather signatures can't get 10,000 signatures out of millions.