Consensus among the "experts" is that oil prices will remain in the $45-60 /bbl range for at least the next 6 months. Of course provided there is no major "war" in the mid east region that could hamper oil production. Since neither Pakistan nor India are oil exporters, even a short war between these long time enemies would not jolt oil prices far above $60.
So, that means Iran's budget for next year will be minimum of 37% less compared to previous year since major part of Iran's national revenue is from oil exports.
Ahmadi meymoon won't have any cash to buy the support of the poor with and that means he is gone; history; bye bye
Guess what Mahmoud, your 15 minutes of fame is over and no one is going to give a crap about you once you are gone. You won't be able to write a book; you won't be able to become a political talking head on CNN, Fox news or Al Jazeera because you are too ugly.
I tell you what. The septic tank in my home is full. I'll let you clean it; $8.00/Hr, cash. Call me.
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mytwocents: You're spot on
by sickofiri (not verified) on Thu Dec 04, 2008 10:31 AM PSTmytwocents: You're spot on your observation.
Khamenie is afraid of Ahmadinejad and his military Junta, the IRGC.
Ahmadinejad has grand plans for the mullahs. There will be a coup against the mullahs within the next few years.
He will be reSelected!
by My two cents (not verified) on Thu Dec 04, 2008 05:31 AM PSTThe revolutioanry guards are all behind him and Khamenii has no choice but to be supportive of the revolutionary guards and their choice in order to stay in power as the absolute fuhrehr.
Kaveh, you're so funny. I
by desi on Wed Dec 03, 2008 09:25 PM PSTKaveh, you're so funny. I can't believe I found myself reading that out loud. The IRI doesn't distribute any oil revenue to its people. I think you've mistaken Iran with Kuwait. Perhaps with no oil revenue, the IRI will have to rethink its stupid foreign policy and play ball. It needs to do whatever it can to have sanctions lifted. The market needs to move. Even if it's the pistachio market. The IRI needs to evolve in to the 21st century and develop revenue that doesn't mean fossil fuel. Hell so do we. We have a sucky gdp because we aren't producers and what we do produce is mediocre.
The Imminent Collapse Of Imperialism!
by Killjoy (not verified) on Wed Dec 03, 2008 06:34 PM PSTSimilar to his atheist predecessor, Karl Marx, who saw the imminent demise of capitalism more than a century and a half ago, Mahmood Ahmadinejad, until recently, was predicting the fast-approaching collapse of American Imperialism and the triumph of Islamic revolutionary ideals.
During his many peregrinations throughout his three and a half years of presidency to meet with the poor Iranians most of whom could even spot the U.S. on a world map, he talked about the collapse of the U.S. economy, blithely unaware of the global reverbrations that such a collapse would cause.
And To Think
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Dec 03, 2008 05:24 PM PSTthere's India, with its huge population, with a growing economy. No oil.
That could have been Iran, you know. Instead of hearing an Indian accent when you call tech support, it would have sounded like:
"Tank you for kaalling Mikeroessoft tekneekaal Essuppoort, my name eez Beel, Operaytor Namber von esseven seex teree. How ken I be aav servees?"
Faramarz,
by mazian (not verified) on Wed Dec 03, 2008 05:16 PM PSTIf you were Iranian and had a little decency to realize that the bad economy would actually hurt regular people like your and my folks, you wouldn't have gotten so exited about their misery. Rest assured that Mahmoud, mollahs, and the rest of the crooks are financially immune for next 100 years. It's only the poor people who suffer.
Only a naive, simple-minded
by Think Again (not verified) on Wed Dec 03, 2008 05:11 PM PSTOnly a naive, simple-minded person would become happy at falling oil prices and consider that to be good for Iranians. Think about it genius, this regime has been supported by the people during the early years of revolution when oil was $6 a barrel or something like that. You think lowering oil prices is going to damage the regime? If anything, it'll reinforce people's view that they should support the regime more because these are tough times for everyone. It gives more excuses for government failure - blame it all on low government income. Low oil prices directly affects the people not a few at the top. It is embarrassing how hatred for one person has blinded you and people like you. Shame!
I want Mahmoud to win. I want him to meet Obama
by I Have a Crush on Alex Trebek on Wed Dec 03, 2008 04:28 PM PSTI want the Republicans and crazy iranians like those on iranian.com to have a collective heart attack at a meeting or just a photo op between these guys. I demand my Republican outrage to be carried out further and further.
How true and Sad
by Asghar Taragheh on Wed Dec 03, 2008 04:09 PM PSTThis is so true. It upsets me though that our nation is so capable yet so dependent on oil revenues. Imagine if oil was $10 a barell like in the late 80's. The country would be bankrupt because the popoulation has doubled. We are not self sufficient. None of the Middle East countries with oil are. It would almost be better if we had no oil. We would instead concentrate our energy on self sufficiency and these Mullahs would not be in power for sure.