where do you see iran in a hundred years?

by hoomangolshan

feel free to express your opinion... (I often wonder where iran is headed...)


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by hoomangolshan on

hmmmmmmmmmmmmm..... interesting comments...




by Cost-of-Progress on

Thanks for the kind words. Actually, I wrote both scenarios very quickly without too much scruitny. I too felt jubilent after reading #2 and sad after # 1.






by pedro on

I began by reading Scenario#2 first. It felt so real, I felt happy for Iran and Iranians. Then, sad for myself thinking I will not be alive to see the glorious days of Iran in the year 2647. There is something in the way you chose to discribe Iran in futur that, for a minute I truly felt I'm there, and anticipating the new year speach by our president. Then the Scenario#1 brought me back to sad reality of todays Iran. Very well thought of scenarios.Exceptional power of immagination. Thanks,


Scenario #2

by Cost-of-Progress on

It is the day before Persian New Year 2647. The Persian calendar has been restored to its rightful background for decades now. President Korush Kaviani plans a televised New Year address and is working on his speech.

Tehran is a bustling city with its 30 million residents, but amazingly there are hardly any traffic jams or congestion on major freeways or skyways. The city shines like a jewel at night from vantage points high atop the surrounding mountains. Since the revolution 90 years ago and the restoration of a fully secular and democratic government, the country has prospered to the point that it is now the number of exporter of various commodities, both agricultural and industrial in the region. The new constitution calls for freedom of religion as well as freedom from religion, if so chosen. The parliamentary system consists of members representing every faction and ethnicity in the country.

Agriculture has flourished in the past 40 years with advances in irrigation techniques and efficient desalination technology large patches of desert in the south central and eastern region of the country are now producing some of the finest produce and fruits in the world. Industry has also progressed in that time frame. Clean efficient energy produced by new innovative processes developed by Iranian engineers has allowed a whole slew of new technologies to emerge in communication, electronics and manufacturing.

Iran has reclaimed its good name and reputation as the jewel of the Middle East with a seat on the UN Security Council. Iran has hosted 2 summer Olympics and 3 winter Olympics in the last 40 years. A major 4 lane highway to the north was instrumental in paving the way for Northern Iran to become one of the premier vacation spots in the Middle East. The Kish Island in the Persian Gulf is now the number one winter vacation spot for thousands of visitors every year form all over the world. Tourism industry has become a major revenue generator for the country.

Oil has lost its importance and dominance as the world economic driver, but Iran had diversified its industry and reduced its dependence on oil as its number one revenue producer decades ago which enable it to prosper in the era that followed.

President Kaviani speech would reflect on all these achievements. He will also remind people that less than a hundred years ago, the country was going through one of its darkest periods in its long history and that it was dedication and perseverance that brought it back to where it is today. It should be noted that the president makes his speech from Pasargad which has been turned into a national monument.

Iran First - Always


Scenario #1

by Cost-of-Progress on

by on Thu Nov 12, 2009 05:56 AM PST

It is March 2110. The exhaust fumes and pollution from millions of old vehicles on streets of Tehran have all but created a perpetual blackout in the city day and night. Although the population of the city is now close to 55 million, you do not see many of them on the streets. Tehran now stretches from Mount Damavand to Ghazvin. There’s food and water rationing throughout the country. The new president Prince Nasrullah Dast-Ollah appointed by triple supreme leader Grand Ayatollah Fayzullah Momayni, the 4th, has been in power for 2 years, but has made no efforts to make life better for ordinary Iranians. Most of the country’s 200 million citizens now live in a few mega cities. Agriculture is virtually non-existent due to policies of the past 130 years. The country struggles to generate food in great big greenhouses using genetically modified processes to increase yield and power created by small nuclear reactors on site.

Since the advent of alternative energy by the West, oil is no longer the major driver in the world economy and in turn, countries like Iran have been left alone by the major world powers. It has been like that for 20 years now. Strict Sharia law is enforced by the authorities. Gigantic mosques dot the city skyline where mass prayers are held everyday organized by the government. Robotic Islamic Militia (Basij) patrol the streets on integrated Segways 24/7. Citizens are frequently stopped by the militia and asked to recite Quranic versus and quizzed on the beauty and peaceful nature of Islam. Those who fail the on-spot tests are arrested and sent to desert camps. Most are never heard from again.

The Caspian Sea is a dead sea now. Pollution from surrounding countries has killed everything in it for decades. The beautiful northern beaches in Mazandarn and Guillan with lush mountain forests are all but gone.

Even though the prospects are dim, most folks still hold out hope that someday the theocracy will be defeated and secular democracy will flourish. Once can only hope.

Iran First - Always