Why the IRI Should Not Get the Bomb

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Why the IRI Should Not Get the Bomb
by Onlyiran
02-Oct-2009
 

Amidst all the talk about curbing IRI’s nuclear program, one important issue seems to be lost on the world, and that is the fate of Iranian people if and when Qom gets its hands on an A-bomb.  Let’s face the 800 lb. gorilla in the room: the IRI wants The Bomb, no ifs and buts about it.  Let’s look at it this way: just like any other dictatorship, the IRI’s ultimate concern is its own self survival.  It wants the bomb not because it wants to defend “Iran” per se against enemies, but rather it wants the bomb to defend itself against enemies.  As it has proven time and time again, the IRI has no sense of patriotism or allegiance to Iran.  It couldn’t give a rat’s –no, let’s make that Mullah’s- behind about what happens to Iran and Iranians.  In fact, the IRI and its supporters will do the happy dance if all Iranians who oppose them (probably 90% or Iran's population) die tomorrow and leave them the country so that they can turn it into another Taliban like “Islamic Emirat”.  Simply put, the IRI wants the bomb as a deterrent to a foreign attempt at “regime change’, that’s all.

But how does their policy threaten Iranians?  Here’s how: let’s assume that the IRI has managed to build a bomb.  Let’s also assume that the uprising has continued (as all the evidence show that it will) and the regime is about to fall.  Let’s also say that most of the Baisjis and pasdaars have either been defeated, joined the people or have gone into hiding.  At this time, the only people who are left of the IRI are its high echelon and a group of Pasdaar and Basiji commanders, at the head of which is IRI's “Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff”, the chunky Mr. Firoozabadi (no pun intended with the 800 lb. gorilla analogy).  And let’s say that Mr. Firoozabadi is sitting in his office with his finger of the “button” as crowds are approaching him.  He knows that within hours he will, in all likelihood, be hanging from a light pole for all the killings that he has ordered, and have been committed but his Basiji thugs.  Do you really think that he will not be inclined to push the button, detonate the device and take most of Tehran to the “other world” with him?  You got to be pretty naïve not to think so.

That’s why the IRI should not get its hands on a bomb, not because of Israel, not because of Europe, not because of Saudi Arabia and not because of the U.S.  It should not get its hands on a bomb because if it does, it will use it as another instrument of terror against the Iranian people. 

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yolanda

Thank you again

by yolanda on

Thank you for your kind words! Actually I am still learning about the nuclear issue. It is indeed a touchy subject. I recall when G W Bush was still the president, the war drum was beating pretty loudly. IRI talked about closing the Strait of Hormuz if there was a war. At that time I read an article written by Mohammad Sahimi, the UCLA Petroleum and Chemical Engineering professor and Dept Chairperson. He said that Iran's nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, but if there is a war, Iran might make a bomb for its self-defence....Iran is a peaceful nation, it has never invaded any countries..... I googled his name again yesterday, there are whole bunch stuff written by him on nuclear issues. I also read an article in LA Times written by Borzou Daragahi, he quoted an Iranian professor as saying that IRI feels that if it has nuclear weapons, it won't be attacked.........sometime ago, I read in Press TV that a nuclear power plant did a test run, but I am not sure if that nuclear power plant has started to generate any electricity yet. If the nuclear power plant is generating electricity, it is a good thing......last year I watched Christiane Amanpour's CNN special on N Korea's nuclear program, the program showed a satellite photo of Korean peninsula at night: S Korea was full of night lights while N Korea was pitch dark! Apparently N Korea's nuclear program is not used to generate (enough) electricty for its own people. N Korea has nuclear weapons (and "nuclear pride"), but their people are so poor and they have no facial expressions. It is sad to look at them! S Korean people's standard of living is way higher than N Koreans and even higher than Iranians according to the statistics of GPD per capita:

//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita

S. Korea ranks #33 in the world, Iran #73, N Korea unranked! Of course, there are 3 reference tables to choose from. I just hope Iran won't become N. Korea.

     I read LA Times saying that the unemployment rate is 40% among young people in Iran. It is the results of sanctions. Is IRI concerned?......it is sad that people have to pay such a heavy price (they have to suffer like this) because of the nuclear program.

I like this segment from your post:

 the IRI wants to build a bomb for its own self-survival, and its self survival means the end to internal opposition and foreign threats.  While foreign governments may also have an interest from preventing the IRI from getting its hands on a nuke, that should not stop us from voicing our objections to the same on different grounds.

Thank you again for your blog and post. It is amazing you write in such diverse topics. Please forgive me if my views are wrong. I am still learning. I hope I did not offend anyone. I hope nothing but the best for the brave Iranian people.

thanks,

yolanda


Onlyiran

sag

by Onlyiran on

my point exactly.


default

delete

by sag koochooloo on

delete


Onlyiran

My take on the comments

by Onlyiran on

I do not think that supporting the Green movement and opposing IRI’s attempts at getting its hands on the Bomb should be two mutually exclusive endeavors.  To dismiss all  opposition to IRI’s bomb building efforts as “western propaganda” is simplistic and short sighted.  In fact, in my opinion, IRI’s quest to build a bomb is part and parcel of its efforts to silence, dismantle, disrupt and ultimately, threaten the opposition and the Iranian people.  As I mentioned in my blog, the IRI wants to build a bomb for its own self-survival, and its self survival means the end to internal opposition and foreign threats.  While foreign governments may also have an interest from preventing the IRI from getting its hands on a nuke, that should not stop us from voicing our objections to the same on different grounds.

Yolanda:  Thank you for your kind words and your interest.  I blog on issues that are important to me, and which I think are important to Iran and Iranian people.  I'm honored that you have found them interesting.


Anahid Hojjati

To IRANdokht and Fozoul Bashi, I reread IRANdokht's comment

by Anahid Hojjati on

Now that my speech has come back, let's discuss this issue more. Fozoul Bashi, don't worry about your Fozouli since I welcome it. Fozoul, you wrote:"So that if you oppose Ahamdi-Nedjad's domestic politics and pig-headedness, it does not follow that you oppose Iran's nuclear energy program which is a fair and legitimate right of the people of Iran and in their long term interest". Yes, Nuclear energy is right of the people of Iran but I am just not comfortable having AN's government as custodian of this right. You read OnlyIran's blog. I am honestly worried that people who believe in apperance of Imam Zaman and are truly fanatic like AN, someday might do horrific crimes using nuclear bomb. 

I think this blog is timely and significant since it has opened the dialogue on this site between two groups both dedicated to democarcy in Iran who may have different opinions about Iran's development of nuclear energy under custody of Ahmadinejad's government. Thanks IRANdokht and Fozoul Bashi for participating in this discussion. Fozoul Bashi thanks for your comment about my poem.


Fouzul Bashi

Anahid, ba ejazeh ...

by Fouzul Bashi on

ye fouzuli koochik!  You jumped to the conclusion and took a phrase out of context.  In the art of legitimate fouzuli you should read it all and carefully, babam jan!  

Irandokht says that you should not confuse the support for  legitimate aspirations of the Green movement for democracy with support for foreign propaganda over issues of long term national interests and national security.  These issues are not divided into black and white, so that if you oppose Ahamdi-Nedjad's domestic politics and pig-headedness, it does not follow that you oppose Iran's nuclear energy program which is a fair and legitimate right of the people of Iran and in their long term interest. She says "don't repeat western propaganda"!  Any problem with that, aziz?   

I liked your poem, by the way! 


yolanda

Thank you

by yolanda on

This is the 3rd article, I read, written by you. The 1st article is about the Iranian women being treated like sub-humans. I still remember the baton-wielding female basijis' (or morality policewoman's) photo.......The 2nd article is " Give It Up Palestine Chest Beaters". I remember the article clearly 'cause I was called a hypocrite by a blogger (haha)! That is OK! I have not changed!

     Great job with the eye-catching & matching picture of this article! Great arguments! Thank you for writing an article with the humorous approach:

.......the chunky Mr. Firoozabadi (no pun intended with the 800 lb. gorilla analogy).......

This is a critical year! Hopefully everything goes in favor of Iranian people!

thanks,


NOT_AK69

Well Said

by NOT_AK69 on

"They cannot separate the interests of Iran and Iranian people from the that of the IRI.  There is clearly a conflict of interest between the two. "

AK69 WAS HERE


Souri

deleted

by Souri on

deleted


IRANdokht

then you should read it again

by IRANdokht on

You obviously didn't get what I said Anahid, read it again, it might help

IRANdokht


Anahid Hojjati

I am speechless

by Anahid Hojjati on

What can I say to a person who acts pro green and against AN but writes:" ...Finally legitimized Ahmadinejad' presidency." At least for a while, this gem comment of yours has rendered me speechless. Bravo IRANdokht.


IRANdokht

perspective

by IRANdokht on

Do you realize that all the noise over the A.N.'s Holocaust rhetoric and the nuclear issue especially the new facility in Qom, only helped take the focus off the green movement and finally legitimized Ahmadinejad's presidency?

Yes the west is in on it too. As long as Iranian oil revenue $$ goes outward including the cost of Uranium enrichment by Russia (why do you think Obama stopped Bush's plan for building a military base in Poland?)  the West does not have a reason to not recognize this government as legitimate. They're really not concerned with our democracy and/or human rights. So instead of repeating what they're saying, focus on the green movement and the fraudulent elections and ask for a free referendum in Iran. They're not even close to making a bomb, lets not allow the smoke and mirrors distract us from what we have to do! 

When will we learn to put things in perspective instead of repeating the western media's propaganda? 

IRANdokht


Onlyiran

Thanks Anahid

by Onlyiran on

Just like you, I believe that this is a very important subject that is being ignored in the midle of all the hoopla about IRI's nuclear ambitions. 


Anahid Hojjati

thanks for writing about this very important issue

by Anahid Hojjati on

I am glad that you wrote this blog since not enough attention has been paid to this issue.  It is more than 3 months that IRI went from very bad to horrific but unfortunately some people still cannot separate their nationalistic feelings from truth of the matter.  You say it best when in your comment to me, you write:" They cannot separate the interests of Iran and Iranian people from the that of the IRI.  There is clearly a conflict of interest between the two."


Onlyiran

Anahid

by Onlyiran on

I agree.  I think that most people on this site who strongly argue that the IRI should fully pursue its nuclear ambitions are disillusioned more than anything else.  They cannot separate the interests of Iran and Iranian people from the that of the IRI.  There is clearly a conflict of interest between the two.  I can't say that I blame them much though.  The IRI's well oiled propaganda machine has been working overtime for a decade to convince the people of exactly what this bunch suffers from.  So, there's really no surprise there.


Anahid Hojjati

People including some writers on this site are naiive or pro IRI

by Anahid Hojjati on

One issue that in last 3 months has amazed and upset me is reaction of some Iranian pseudo intellectuals regarding nuclear power for Iran.  I have been unpleasantly surprised to read on this site and other sites comments from those that claim they are pro green movemnet and against IRI, but then also push for nuclear power for Iran and its pursuit even at present time.  At this cross section, because of reasons you explained also, this position is wrong.  This coup government should be stopped in its nuclear pursuit.


Anonymous Observer

I wouldn't

by Anonymous Observer on

put it pass this regime to do anything it can to stay in power.