why opposition will keep failing...unless they know the secret


why opposition will keep failing...unless they know the secret
by i_support_khamenie

In about two months, it will be one year since the Islamic Republic experienced its most disturbing phase. Large scale opposition rallies were held in Iran as well numerous protests by Iranian exiles in front of Iranian Embassies. Predictions were made...and most failed to materialize. The Iranian government was successful to put down or at least dampen the opposition's spirit by a crafty blueprint that included:

} use of force against the rank and file in the opposition movement as well as ordinary people prostesting
} use of threats to intimidate local citizens from joining the movement
} widespread media crackdown as well as propogation of stories to undermine the opposition
} indirect threats against opposition leaders by plain cloth Basijis
} no arrest of opposition leaders ir. Mousavi, Khatami or Karroubi to avoid a potential backlash
} systematic cleansing of universities, ministries and the army from people seen as sympathetic to opposition
} distorting the truth and labeling opposition members and their leaders as stooges of the West

These actions and more were largely successful. The opposition currently has very little physical presence except from time to time at university campuses. The spirit of protest and anger may still be evident in the population at large but they currently feel that they would risk their livelihood and families if they joined any protest.

Iranian exiles were also non effective in bringing any change. Constant squablling amongst groups and lack of an effective centralized strategy made all efforts for naught. Other strategies used such as men wearing hijab, or protestors dancing and having fun trivialized the opposition and was used effectively by local Iranian media to mock the opposition movement and its leaders.

However, for a period of time, the opposition was able through chanting to shake the Islamic Republic's foundation, however they soon forgot about it. It was this that made the Iranian government most worries.

Slogans like "Na Gaza, Na Lobnan, Janam Fadaye Iran" was the one slogan that rattled the regime more than any other.

If opposition members want to actually make any headway to realinfg their goals, they have to take their aims off of the regime and instead go after its allies.

Consider this: During the US-Iraq war, there were hugh rallies by the MoveOn organization against the war in DC as well as in London...In Some over 500,000 participated in Washington DC. Yet, despite all the protests against George W Bush, none changed his course. Now imagine, had the protests been squarely aimed against Jews and Israel. Imagine, just how far Congress and the Senate would have gone to at least make sure the protestors are to a degree placated.

Now imagine the same in Iran. If opposition members focus their attention on the Iranian government's allies, they really can't be arrested - since they didn't insult Khamenei or Velayate Faqih. Indeed, authorities would be left powerless as they see masses rally against Iranian allies without being able to arrest them or charge them.

It is exactly this type of "soft-protest" that the Iranian government has used now and in the past to silence the opposition. They always try and do their best to avoid "direct" evidence from surfacing which implicates the government in the crackdown. Instead, the regime uses soft tactics in a way that it can always deny it even had a hand in suppressing the opposition.

The threats and articles against Karroubi and Mousavi are always done by people that touted as "independent" people- that way the government can deny it was involved.

The death of Neda was by a local plain cloth man- someone that the government can deny it was involved.

This government has done all it could to disturb peace and tranquility by using agents that it can always deny they ever had anything to do with it. This strategy of denial has worked wonders for the Iranian government to avoid scrutiny from its people and the world community at large.

In Summary, if the opposition is to have any hope of resurrection, it must refocus its efforts to target allies of Iran. Not China or Russia- they are not on Iranian payroll. Rather target allies that ARE on Iranian payroll. If adopted, you will see the regime tremble again. Things that can be done:

}Remember, never target Iranian leaders or government.
}Target, allies of Iran on Iranian payroll: mainly Muslim allies
}Target Hezbollah, Hamas, Egyptian Muslim brotherhoood and Sunni Islam
} Target Islam and specially controversial issues

By Not targeting Iranian leaders or government- they can't spin your actions as "anti-iranian" and "anti-patriotic" and call for your execution

Focus on Hamas, Palestinians, Hezbollah, Lebanon:

If the Iranian government cracks down on protestors, assemble in front of the Lebanese, Syrian and Palestinian embassies. Bring along your Iranian flags: preferably the one with an "Allah" in the middle- NOT the "Lion" one since that would give the government the excuse to label you as monarchist and anti-regime. Plus when Muslim and Arab media see you with the Lion flag, they will know that you are exactly what the Iranian regime is fighting.

You need to show up with the Iranian "Allah" flag and burn Lebanese, Hezbollah, Palestinian, Syrian flags. Show up with pictures of Hassan Nasrallah, Bashar Assad and Khaled Meshal as the devil. Bring along Korans, rip the pages, make balls out of them and attack the embassy walls with these Koranic balls.

Make Youtube videos: Not against Khamenei or AHmadinejad (none of that has changed a thing). Rather make videos of you trashing a Koran, attacking Mohammed and his wives and frineds that are considered highly by Sunnis. Don't attack Shia figures since you might lose Shia support in Iran. Attack Sunni Islam, desecrate the Koran and make sure you kiss the Iranian "Allah" flag.

Create slogans that attack Palestinians, Lebanese and Syria.

These type of actions will have widespread consequences. It will be widely carried by Arab and Muslim media which will show how Iranian people are turning against Islam and neighboring countries becasue of the policies of Iran.

It will make the Iranian government lose its support amongst Arabs and Muslims in the street (these are the people that the Iranian government really cares about not the Iranian people).

Iran is very sensitive to what Arab and Muslim media broadcast to their people. The Iranian government can care less about what BBC, CNN and Fox broadcast because these channels are widely seen as suspicious by Arabs and Muslims. If CNN attacks Iranian regime, Arabs and Muslims will tend to side with Iran because they feel CNN is a Western tool.

The idea is very simple:
do what it takes to hurt and embarrass Iranian allies while showing yourself as an Iranian regime supporter.
Do what it takes to attack Islam, Mohammed and Sunnis and show yourself as a Shiite Iranian.

These type of actions will quickly present to Arabs and Muslims that Iranians are NOT one of them. It will show that Iranian "regime supporters" hate on Arabs and Muslims.

Attacks on Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, Hamas and Palestinians will be widely broadcast via Arab media which will show that the Iranian people are not supporters of Palestine.

These actions will little by little deprive the Iranian regime of its image as a defender of Islam, Palestine and oppressed Arabs. It will create a chasm between Muslims especially Sunnis and Iran. They will more and more see the Iranians and the Iranian regime as "non Muslims" and "heretics".

These type of actions will over time make Iran's clout in the Arab and Muslim world shrink to the point where Muslims and Arabs will attack Iran and Iranians. This will be extremely important as it will:

}make the iranian government lose legitimacy in the Islamic world
}create walls between Iranians and other Muslims with back and forth volleys attacking one another

Overtime, the Iranian government will realize that it has no support amongst the Arabs and Muslims it caters to. And, it will make Arabs and Muslims look at Iranians with mistrust and vice versa. Ultimately, these walls of mistrust will force future Iranian generations care less and less about Arabs and Muslims and will make them seek allies in the Western hemisphere which will force Iranians to adopt to the notions of twentieth century human rights, civil society and democracy.

PS: If you take a look at Iraq and the Shiites governing it, you will realize that they are widely seen as suspect and collaborators by the rest of Arabs and Muslims. This have made the Iraqi government seek allies in the Western world to replace the "Arab ones" and to cater to democracy!

The way forward is to separate Iran from Arabs and Muslims as much as possible without "direct" involvement in calling for the overthrow of the Iranian regime or call for its leaders to be put on trial.

You all witnessed what happened in the Islamic world when the Danish cartoonist portrayed Muhammed as a suicide bomber. The anger of Muslims worldwide was quickly directed at the Danish government and people and not so much the cartoonist. Now imagine if it had been an Iranian. Imagine all the hate from Muslims against the Iranian government and people had the cartoonist been an "Iranian-regime" supporter.

Now can you do something that will top off what the Danish cartoonist did and at the same time, kiss Khamenie's picture and the Iranian"Allah" flag. Can you make a series of Youtube videos that would make the Danish Cartoon's look like child's play. Can you top it off? but make sure you come across as an Iranian regime supporter. Then let the chip fall where they may!

Don't work Hard, WORK SMART!


more from i_support_khamenie

Wrong in many levels

by IRI on

First my friend realize who is your audience. Who do you want to go out and burn Allah flag? I mean come on, this is not the LA shir o khorshid people you are talking to. Your plan is cute and that's as far as it goes.

Again, if you have some people come out and do this, the Islamic Republic would laugh and say to the neighboring Arabs: look and see what kind of people West supports. You want these guys come to power? Another anti Islamic Plot by the lost souls of Traitors and Western government. so and so.

I mean you can go against this idea in so many levels. And as I said, it's cute at its best but not a good idea. in my opinion. Very easily diverted and doesn't do anything. I am laughing even trying to think of this seriously. Sorry.

khaleh mosheh


by khaleh mosheh on




For Shahshah Esmail and "IRI"

by i_support_khamenie on

S.Esmail: "if you want to make change then the chant of allaho akbar and ya hossein is what will cause an impact , thats why immediately after the election you had mollahs on your side , chadori women and lines as far as the eye can see in tehrans streets"

- are are talking about Ayat Sistani who stayed silent despite repeated pleas to say somehting?

- are you talking about Ayat Makarem Shirazi-the shekar foroosh- who mumbled something then bowed to Khamenie again?

- are you talking about Ayat Hamadani- the pedophile married to 14 yo girl- who stood by IRI because he is a Basiji Ayat?

- are you talking about Ayat Wahid Khorasani, who soon found out his son-in-law Sadeq Larijani is the new Judge and stayed silent?

Oh, Maybe you were talking about:

- Ayat Sanei who gave a 30 minute speech in his office, broadcast on You.tube and was soon de-certified as a Marja by a religious body in Qom!

- or maybe, you meant Ayat Montazeri who was long a dissedent before there was a Green movement ever present.

So who exactly sided with the Green from the mollah?

As far as the Chadooris and Haj Aghas:
they do not have or prefer not to have satellite dishes because they are "corrupt" and hence rely on IRIB for all their news (just like hill billies listening to Fox News).

One torn picture of Khomeini and 4 roudy kids on Ashoura was enough for these hi IQ folks to abandon the Green movement. That was some committment they had!!

Remember, IRI had monopolized Shia Islam. Or better "Mosadere karde Islam ra". Ok. You can;t fight IRI with Islam

Its like using the bible to overthrow the Pope!
Or using Quran to overthrow Mohammad!

"The people of Iran and the government wold simply say: these guys are pro Israeli or anti Muslim in the dress of opposition."

- can the people of Iran and the government say that about people holding up the Iranian "Allah" flag and burning the Palestinian one?

The main target is not Iranian audiences rather Muslim and Arab audiences.

With images like these IRI will continue to lose clout and will become a liability rather than an asset to all these groups overseas. Soon IRI would realize that it was futile to actually depend on Arabs and Muslims for support and would do what is needed to mend fences with the West.

As a reminder: Simply through media wars between IRI vs Saudi Arabia:

- Iyad Alawi's group of mostly Sunnis and secular SHias came ahead in 2010

-Hezbollah lost to al Mustaghbal Party led by Saad Al Harriri in Lebanon

- Hezbollah and Nasralla are really despised because of their actions leading to war in Summer 2006 and their takeover of Beirut and fighting Sunnis

That was the result of Arab media portraying IRI in negative light to Arab masses.
If these hatred continues, IRI would soon wake up and realize that historical animities are hard to erase. It would become more practical and reasonable.

I can't ever imagine how IRI can possibly win a media war vs Arab countries. On the one hand, IRI employs the most depressed looking anchors and women rolled up in a carpet and plays mourning songs day and night. On the other hand, Arab governments use Western tech and anchors that look pretty and attractive. Now other than 60 and 70 yr old grandmas watching Iranian TV, do you really think men in their 20 and 30s will tune in to IRanian broadcasts??

Veiled Prophet of Khorasan

Are these naked dudes kosher?

by Veiled Prophet of Khorasan on


I wonder all these naked dudes hanging AN off their Johnson. This is very disrespectful and somewhat embarrassing. 

By the way: Where is my Quom carpet?

Mola Nasredeen

What a bunch of nonsense!

by Mola Nasredeen on

Said Hazrate shotor.


Same as now

by IRI on

The people of Iran and the government wold simply say: these guys are pro Israeli or anti Muslim in the dress of opposition.
So there goes your genius idea. Not a big deal to deal with this kinds of "methods". If the opposition gets to know what it is that the people want and struggle for then they can be more effective without supporting their own enemies such as Israel. They can simply ask their host government to recognize the will of the people of Iran and treat Iran equally. That my friend will show the true care and respect for Iranians far more than burning Lebanese flags!



by yolanda on

HI! vildemose,

      It will be very interesting to know how many usernames under this dude's IP address....I recall not long ago, JJ exposed 16 usernames under the same IP address based in Arizona.....one of the unsernames is Persian_yingyang.... 

P.S. I am not sure this dude just wants to show off or tries to intimidate people on IC! One thing is very clear from his blog is that he does not want people to protest in front of IRI's embassies.


Thank you Yolanda. That is

by vildemose on

Thank you Yolanda. That is his real name and position from your link:

Jaafar Mohammadi, charge de affaires, Interest Section of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Embassy of Pakistan, Wisconsin Avenue, DC




by yolanda on

The author of this blog claims that he works for the interest section of IRI, so he is an IRI official......I will not listen to his "advice"


apparently he does not have much to do in the interest section, so he comes here to sabotage!

Sargord Pirouz

This post is

by Sargord Pirouz on

This post is tongue-in-cheek, right?



by shahanshahesmail on

My god....make sure you never get into politics dude , the reason the opposition failed is because of people like you .

First of all the opposition insulted khamenei , ahmadinejad , islam , hamas , hezbollah , everything .

and they fucked up , get over it , if you want to make change then the chant of allaho akbar and ya hossein is what will cause an impact , thats why immediately after the election you had mollahs on your side , chadori women and lines as far as the eye can see in tehrans streets.

if you want gullbile idiotic youth causing havoc and mayhem and giving the green movement more reason to be hated and marginalized and if you want bystanders to look at the teenage women in the opposition and chant "american bitch" , then we can follow your views.