What if we're wrong on Iran?
Los Angeles Times / Roger Z. George
02-Oct-2012

[T]he intelligence community should immediately, if it has not already done so, prepare candid assessments of the effect military strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities could have on both Iranian politics and regional stability. In 2003, such assessments proved to be prescient, but they were completed only after the decision had been made to invade Iraq. Consequently, they had virtually no impact on decision-makers, who had convinced themselves that Iraqis would greet us as liberators and quickly restore the functioning of their society and economy.
[T]he intelligence community should not repeat mistakes it made in 2002 and 2003, nor allow itself to become the scapegoat for decisions that properly reside with the nation's political and military leadership. 

 

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