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A five page article from RAND researcher Gregory S. Jones released late last week
reaches a grim conclusion: that without an immediate US military
occupation of Iran, the Islamic Republic will have a nuclear weapon in
two months.

The report is entirely a mathematical exercise, using the latest IAEA report on Iran
as source material for data. It concludes that Iran will have enough
90% enriched uranium to make a nuclear warhead in just eight weeks.

Of course, one mustn’t forget that the IAEA report is two weeks old,
so that knocks the time down to six weeks. And those figures weren’t
fresh the day they were published, so its even less than that. Time, the
biologist concludes, is running dangerously low.

The mathematics of the claim are not the core of the problem, but the
assumptions underlying them. Iran’s centrifuge program has struggled
mightily to create 19.7% enriched uranium (useful for medical purposes)
and they have never even attempted the creation of 90%+ weapons-grade
uranium. The report assumes that they could do this with p... >>>